Israel’s ‘Rising Lion’ Strike in Iran: Geopolitical Impact & India’s Diplomatic Challenges

Key Developments: Operation Rising Lion
Targets: Nuclear facilities, missile infrastructure, and senior figures (Commander Salami + scientists Fereydoun Abbasi-Davani & Mohammad Mehdi Tehranchi).
Timing: Preceded US-Iran nuclear discussions in Oman, signaling Israel’s unilateral stance.
US Position: Publicly distanced itself but acknowledged regional dangers.

Iran-Israel Conflict: From Proxy War to Direct Strikes
1979–2024: Evolved from Iran’s Islamic Revolution (cutting Israel ties) to proxy warfare via Hezbollah, cyber attacks (Stuxnet), and scientist assassinations.
2024–2025 Escalation:
April 2024: Israel bombed Iran’s Damascus consulate → Iran’s first direct missile attack on Israel.
October 2024: Iran launched 180 missiles after Israel killed Hezbollah/Hamas leaders.
Nuclear Flashpoint: Iran’s uranium enrichment program remains central to tensions.

Global & Regional Implications
Energy Security:
West Asia supplies 60% of India’s crude oil. Conflict disrupts shipping lanes (Strait of Hormuz) and spikes global prices.
India’s vulnerability: Rising oil prices inflate import bills, affecting inflation and growth.

Diplomatic Challenges for India:
Balancing Act:
Israel: Strategic defense partner ($2.5B+ arms trade).
Iran: Critical for Chabahar Port (Afghan access) and energy imports.
UNSC Dilemma: Voting on resolutions may strain ties with either side.
UN’s Role:
Limited by veto powers (US/Russia). Can only:
Facilitate ceasefires through envoys.
Monitor nuclear sites (IAEA).
Impose targeted sanctions.

Why This Matters for Exams
Prelims: Timeline (1979 Revolution, Stuxnet, 2015 nuclear deal exit).
Mains GS-II:
“Effect of West Asia conflicts on India’s energy security”
“Diplomatic tightrope between Israel and Iran”
Essay: “Multipolarity vs. Alliance Diplomacy in Contemporary Conflicts”
 

Sample Q&A for Exam Prep
Q1: What was Operation Rising Lion (June 2025)?
A: Israel’s airstrike targeting Iran’s nuclear facilities and senior military/scientific figures, escalating direct conflict.
Q2: How does the Iran-Israel conflict threaten global energy security?
A: Disrupts oil shipments via Strait of Hormuz (30% global supply), spiking prices and supply chain instability.
Q3: Name two factors complicating India’s diplomacy with Israel and Iran.
A: Defense ties with Israel vs. Chabahar Port access via Iran; voting on UN resolutions.
Q4: Which event triggered Iran’s first direct attack on Israel in 2024?
A: Israel’s bombing of Iran’s consulate in Damascus (April 2024).
Q5: What role can the UN play in de-escalation?
A: Mediate ceasefires, deploy observers, and impose sanctions – but limited by Security Council vetoes.